SuperTrend — TSLA Backtest Results (5-Year)

+54.3% Total Return
9.1% CAGR
0.30 Sharpe Ratio
54.1% Max Drawdown
39.2% Win Rate
1.06 Profit Factor
306 Total Trades
3 days Avg Trade

SuperTrend + ATR Trailing Stop — TSLA Equity Curve

How the SuperTrend + ATR Trailing Stop Works

The supertrend + atr trailing stop is one of the most widely-used signals in trading. It’s simple, mechanical, and removes emotional decision-making from your trading by generating clear entry and exit signals based on the SuperTrend indicator.

On TSLA, the SuperTrend acts as a trend filter. It won’t catch every exact bottom, but it reliably captures the meat of major moves while keeping you out of chop.

5-Year Performance on TSLA

Over five years (2021-07-06 → 2026-07-02), the SuperTrend + ATR Trailing Stop delivered a +54.3% total return on TSLA, compounding at 9.1% annually.

At 0.30, the SuperTrend earned less than one units of return for every unit of risk taken. For context, anything above 1.0 is considered good; above 1.5 is excellent.

The catch? A 54.1% max drawdown. At some point during this 5-year run, you’d have been down nearly 54% from peak equity. That’s stomach-churning territory for most traders. If you can’t handle that kind of drawdown, this isn’t for you — or you need to size down.

Risk Assessment

MetricValueVerdict
Sharpe Ratio0.30❌ Weak
Max Drawdown54.1%⚠️ Significant
Win Rate39.2%❌ Low — relies on outsized wins
Profit Factor1.06⚠️ Marginal
Trades/Year~306 totalActive

The profit factor of 1.06 tells the real story: when the SuperTrend fires, the winning signals are larger than the losing ones. Combined with a 39.2% win rate, this requires careful position sizing to be profitable.

Does the SuperTrend + ATR Trailing Stop Work on TSLA?

The supertrend + atr trailing stop struggled to generate meaningful edge on TSLA over this 5-year period. With a 0.30 Sharpe ratio and 1.06 profit factor, the risk-adjusted returns are below what most systematic traders would consider acceptable.

This doesn’t mean the SuperTrend is useless — it may work better on different assets, timeframes, or when combined with other filters. But on TSLA with default parameters over 5 years, it didn’t produce a compelling standalone edge.

Our take: skip it on TSLA unless you’re combining it with other confirmations or using it on different timeframes.

Lab Original — Invite-Only

Get SuperTrend + ATR Trailing Stop on TradingView

This backtest simulates the core logic behind our SuperTrend + ATR Trailing Stop script. The real thing runs live on TradingView with full alert conditions, multi-timeframe support, and phone notifications.

View Script — \$15 See on TradingView →

Data source: Yahoo Finance (yfinance). Backtest engine: backtrader. 95% position sizing. 0.1% commission per trade. Last refreshed: July 04, 2026. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SuperTrend + ATR Trailing Stop — Trade Signals on TSLA

Year-by-Year Breakdown

YearReturnTradesWin Rate
2021+60.2%2739.2%
2022-69.2%6139.2%
2023+129.9%6139.2%
2024+62.6%6439.2%
2025+18.6%6439.2%
2026-10.2%2939.2%
Trade Stocks on Moomoo — Commission-Free

Access US markets with zero commissions and professional-grade charting tools.

Open Moomoo Account →

Related Indicator Reviews