SAR — EURUSD Backtest Results (5-Year)

-6.1% Total Return
-1.3% CAGR
-0.98 Sharpe Ratio
12.6% Max Drawdown
36.2% Win Rate
0.80 Profit Factor
58 Total Trades
15 days Avg Trade

Parabolic SAR — EURUSD=X Equity Curve

How the Parabolic SAR Works

The parabolic sar is one of the most widely-used signals in trading. It’s simple, mechanical, and removes emotional decision-making from your trading by generating clear entry and exit signals based on the SAR indicator.

On EURUSD, the SAR acts as a trend filter. It won’t catch every exact bottom, but it reliably captures the meat of major moves while keeping you out of chop.

5-Year Performance on EURUSD

Over five years (2021-07-05 → 2026-07-03), the Parabolic SAR delivered a -6.1% total return on EURUSD=X, compounding at -1.3% annually.

At -0.98, the SAR earned less than one units of return for every unit of risk taken. For context, anything above 1.0 is considered good; above 1.5 is excellent.

The catch? A 12.6% max drawdown. At some point during this 5-year run, you’d have been down nearly 13% from peak equity. That’s significant territory for most traders. If you can’t handle that kind of drawdown, this isn’t for you — or you need to size down.

Risk Assessment

MetricValueVerdict
Sharpe Ratio-0.98❌ Weak
Max Drawdown12.6%✅ Low
Win Rate36.2%❌ Low — relies on outsized wins
Profit Factor0.80❌ Unprofitable
Trades/Year~58 totalActive

The profit factor of 0.80 tells the real story: when the SAR fires, the winning signals don’t outweigh the losers. Combined with a 36.2% win rate, this requires careful position sizing to be profitable.

Does the Parabolic SAR Work on EURUSD?

The parabolic sar struggled to generate meaningful edge on EURUSD over this 5-year period. With a -0.98 Sharpe ratio and 0.80 profit factor, the risk-adjusted returns are below what most systematic traders would consider acceptable.

This doesn’t mean the SAR is useless — it may work better on different assets, timeframes, or when combined with other filters. But on EURUSD with default parameters over 5 years, it didn’t produce a compelling standalone edge.

Our take: skip it on EURUSD unless you’re combining it with other confirmations or using it on different timeframes.

Data source: Yahoo Finance (yfinance). Backtest engine: backtrader. 95% position sizing. 0.1% commission per trade. Last refreshed: July 04, 2026. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Parabolic SAR — Trade Signals on EURUSD=X

Year-by-Year Breakdown

YearReturnTradesWin Rate
2021-4.5%536.2%
2022-6.3%1236.2%
2023+3.3%1536.2%
2024-5.9%1136.2%
2025+13.5%1036.2%
2026-2.6%536.2%
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